Reilly Opelka vs Adrian MannarinoNewport Round of 16

Newport · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1749ELO
1635Grass ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
grass
#49ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Opelka R.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Mannarino A.
Opelka R.
6362
Mannarino A.
4641

Reilly Opelka defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the Newport round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49, defending the title. Reilly Opelka extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-14Delray BeachQFhardReilly Opelka7-6(2) 3-6 6-1
2022-02-07DallasQFhardReilly Opelka6-3 6-4
2019-02-11New YorkR32hardReilly Opelka2-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving95% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving95% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
72%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.1
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
63
65
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
1
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 259 days (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1635
Surface ELO
5.2+18 Grass Elo edge
6.3Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast