Alex Bolt vs Brandon Nakashima — Newport Round of 16

Newport · ATP · Round of 16
Alex Bolt
AUS
Alex Bolt
#166ATP
1588ELO
1569Grass ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 July 2024
grass
Brandon Nakashima
USA5
Brandon Nakashima
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Bolt A.
7-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Bolt A.
7762
Nakashima B.
6240

Alex Bolt defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-4 in the Newport round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bolt A.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bolt A.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Slight edge
7
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bolt A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1569
Surface ELO
6.7+187 Grass Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
5.7
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bolt A.Nakashima B.
Freshness·
—
90

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Giron M.[2]
Michelsen A.[3]
6-746-37-5
Semi-finals
Giron M.[2]
Eubanks C.[4]
6-43-66-2
Michelsen A.[3]
Opelka R.
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Giron M.[2]
Bolt A.
6-46-1
Opelka R.
Mcdonald M.
4-66-36-4
Eubanks C.[4]
Vukic A.[6]
6-24-67-63
Michelsen A.[3]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
R16
Kovacevic A.
Rinderknech A.[7]
6-33-67-5
Opelka R.
Mannarino A.[1]
6-43-66-4
Mcdonald M.
Harris B.
6-36-4
Michelsen A.[3]
Cressy M.
6-46-4
Giron M.[2]
Paire B.
4-67-56-4
Vukic A.[6]
Spizzirri E.
6-27-63
Eubanks C.[4]
Quinn E.
7-643-66-3
Bolt A.
Nakashima B.[5]
7-626-4
R32
Spizzirri E.
Tu L.
6-17-64
Nakashima B.[5]
Nava E.
7-56-2
Bolt A.
Mensik J.
6-26-4
Paire B.
Svajda Z.
6-33-67-64
Cressy M.
Albot R.
6-44-67-64
Opelka R.
Lestienne C.
6-12-67-62
Harris B.
Diallo G.
7-647-5
Mcdonald M.
Hijikata R.[8]
4-67-646-2
Kovacevic A.
Mayot H.
7-616-4
Rinderknech A.[7]
Mochizuki S.
6-37-65
Vukic A.[6]
Wong C.
6-16-2
Quinn E.
Polmans M.
6-36-736-1