Brandon Holt vs Ryan Peniston — Winnipeg CH Round of 32

Winnipeg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Brandon Holt
#657ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 July 2024
hard
Ryan Peniston
GBR
Ryan Peniston
#417ATP
1441ELO
1402Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
Holt B.
7-5 6-4
Peniston R.
Holt B.
762
Peniston R.
540

Brandon Holt defeated Ryan Peniston 7-5 6-4 in the Winnipeg CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ryan Peniston came in ranked #417, defending the title, but Brandon Holt had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 10 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Peniston R.

Peniston R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Holt B.Peniston R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Holt B.Peniston R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
20
Break points saved·Dominant
85
60
Break points won·Slight edge
31
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
36
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Holt B.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Peniston R.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1402
6.2Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1441
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
3.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Bonzi B.[3]
Shimabukuro S.
5-76-16-4
Semi-finals
Bonzi B.[3]
Yunchaokete B.
3-67-666-0
Shimabukuro S.
Spizzirri E.
6-31-66-4
Quarter-finals
Bonzi B.[3]
Shimizu Y.
6-17-60
Shimabukuro S.
Schoolkate T.[6]
6-26-4
Spizzirri E.
Grenier H.[7]
6-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Holt B.
6-746-26-2
R16
Shimizu Y.
Habib H.
6-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Polmans M.
3-66-26-3
Spizzirri E.
Wolf J.[1]
7-616-3
Holt B.
Atmane T.[2]
7-56-2
Bonzi B.[3]
Sekulic P.
6-36-3
Schoolkate T.[6]
Bellier A.
4-66-36-3
Grenier H.[7]
Draxl L.
6-23-67-5
Shimabukuro S.
Mejia N.
6-26-1
R32
Holt B.
Peniston R.
7-56-4
Atmane T.[2]
Martin A.
7-56-776-1
Schoolkate T.[6]
Trotter J.
6-27-65
Grenier H.[7]
Uchiyama Y.
6-46-3
Wolf J.[1]
Gea A.
6-26-4
Bonzi B.[3]
Quinn E.
6-46-4
Polmans M.
Galarneau A.[5]
6-36-2
Shimizu Y.
Hong S.[8]
6-27-5
Bellier A.
Boyer T.
7-657-5
Yunchaokete B.
Pospisil V.
3-67-626-2
Draxl L.
Brouwer G.
7-57-5
Habib H.
Basavareddy N.
5-76-16-4
Mejia N.
Mayo A.
6-26-4
Sekulic P.
Lajal M.
7-54-66-3
Shimabukuro S.
Marchenko I.
7-56-1
Spizzirri E.
Rice K.
6-37-5