Louisa Chirico vs Renata ZarazuaBastad 125 Round of 32

Bastad 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#382WTA
1476ELO
1516Clay ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 July 2024
clay
#83WTA
1663ELO
1586Clay ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Chirico L.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Zarazua R.
Chirico L.
3662
Zarazua R.
6421

Louisa Chirico defeated Renata Zarazua 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Bastad 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Renata Zarazua came in ranked #83.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chirico L.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Chirico L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
28
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
46
57
Break points won·Clear edge
74
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1516
Surface ELO
6.6+70 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Zarazua R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast