Valentin Royer vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliIasi CH Round of 16

Iasi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#77ATP
1641ELO
1606Clay ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 July 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Royer V.
7-6 6-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Royer V.
7762
Ugo Carabelli C.
6320

Valentin Royer defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-6 6-2 in the Iasi CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Royer V.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Serve advantage — Royer V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Royer V.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Dominant
30
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
62
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1606
Surface ELO
6.3+134 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
8.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
4.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
98

Royer V.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast