Roberto Carballes Baena vs Cristian GarinBraunschweig CH Quarter-final

Braunschweig CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 July 2024
clay
#125ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Carballes Baena R.
4-6 6-3 7-5
Garin C.
Carballes Baena R.
4672
Garin C.
6351

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Cristian Garin 4-6 6-3 7-5 in the Braunschweig CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Cristian Garin came in ranked #125, but Roberto Carballes Baena had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay. Roberto Carballes Baena extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroR32clayCristian Garin2-6 7-6(1) 6-3
2019-04-22BarcelonaR16clayRoberto Carballes Baena6-4 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 134). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
61
63
Break points saved·Even
93
94
Break points won·Clear edge
58
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
51
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1612
Surface ELO
6.0+47 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1667
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
5.1
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast