Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini — Wimbledon Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Final
Barbora Krejcikova
CZE31
Barbora Krejcikova
#38WTA
1874ELO
1773Grass ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Krejcikova B.
6-2 2-6 6-4
Paolini J.
Krejcikova B.
6262
Paolini J.
2641

Barbora Krejcikova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Barbora Krejcikova claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR16hardJasmine Paolini6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Krejcikova B.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Krejcikova B.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
89
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krejcikova B.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7+25 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Grass Elo 1748
4.0Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Krejcikova B.Paolini J.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
72

Krejcikova B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.[31]
Paolini J.[13]
6-22-66-4
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.[31]
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-36-4
Paolini J.[13]
Vekic D.[31]
2-66-47-68
Quarter-finals
Vekic D.[31]
Sun L.[9]
5-76-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Ostapenko J.[13]
6-47-64
Paolini J.[13]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[13]
Keys M.[26]
6-36-765-5
Rybakina E.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-33-0
Sun L.[9]
Raducanu E.[30]
6-25-76-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[31]
Badosa P.
6-21-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-3
Krejcikova B.[31]
Collins D.[11]
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Putintseva Y.
6-26-3
R32
Collins D.[11]
Haddad Maia B.[20]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[31]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-04-3
Putintseva Y.
Swiatek I.[3]
3-66-16-2
Sun L.[9]
Zhu L.[30]
7-647-66
Svitolina E.[8]
Jabeur O.[10]
6-17-64
Keys M.[26]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Wozniacki C.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[7]
Kartal S.
6-46-0
Raducanu E.[30]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-26-3
Vekic D.[31]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-646-736-1
Navarro E.[23]
Shnaider D.[15]
2-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Pera B.
6-16-3
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.
7-646-1
Wang X.
Dart H.
2-67-56-3
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Samsonova L.[15]
7-646-2
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.[14]
7-664-66-4
R64
Kartal S.
Burel C.
6-35-76-3
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Osorio C.
3-0
Krejcikova B.[31]
Volynets K.[5]
7-667-65
Sun L.[9]
Starodubtseva Y.
4-66-36-2
Zhu L.[30]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
6-46-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
7-56-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Miyazaki Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.[11]
Galfi D.[10]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Siniakova K.[32]
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.[13]
Minnen G.
7-656-2
Navarro E.[23]
Osaka N.[14]
6-46-1
Gauff C.[7]
Todoni A.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Bouzkova M.[21]
6-46-1
Svitolina E.[8]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Dart H.
Boulter K.[32]
4-66-17-68
Andreescu B.
Noskova L.[9]
6-37-65
Kostyuk M.[12]
Saville D.
4-67-626-4
Wozniacki C.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-32-67-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[10]
Montgomery R.
6-17-5
Vekic D.[31]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Stephens S.
6-16-1
Keys M.[26]
Wang Y.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bucsa C.
7-616-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Siegemund L.
6-33-66-3
Badosa P.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.[23]
3-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Snigur D.
6-36-0
Samsonova L.[15]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Pegula J.[4]
6-46-776-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Gracheva V.
3-66-47-65
Raducanu E.[30]
Mertens E.[25]
6-16-2
R128
Siniakova K.[32]
Stakusic M.
6-46-2
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Frech M.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Bogdan A.
6-44-67-65
Jabeur O.[10]
Uchijima M.[8]
6-36-1
Galfi D.[10]
Sherif M.[21]
6-16-2
Miyazaki Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Minnen G.
Watson H.
7-56-4
Volynets K.[5]
Carle M.
6-27-5
Zhu L.[30]
Begu I.
6-06-4
Sun L.[9]
Zheng Q.[8]
4-66-26-4
Rus A.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sramkova R.[16]
6-36-2
Fernandez L.[22]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-46-3
Pera B.
Potapova A.[27]
6-746-47-66
Dart H.
Bai Z.
6-46-0
Vekic D.[31]
Wang X.
3-66-36-4
Andreescu B.
Cristian J.
6-46-2
Kartal S.
Cirstea S.[17]
3-66-26-0
Swiatek I.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Zarazua R.
7-606-3
Osaka N.[14]
Parry D.
6-11-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Wang Q.
6-06-2
Montgomery R.
Gadecki O.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Pliskova K.
4-66-47-5
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Udvardy P.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
6-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Hibino N.
2-66-26-4
Todoni A.
Danilovic O.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-17-61
Badosa P.
Muchova K.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Krueger A.
6-26-0
Siegemund L.
Baindl K.
6-46-1
Niemeier J.
Golubic V.
6-26-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-3
Martic P.
Jones F.
3-66-16-2
Garcia C.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-47-5
Snigur D.
Dodin O.
6-46-0
Collins D.[11]
Tauson C.[24]
6-37-64
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Vondrousova M.[6]
6-46-2
Wozniacki C.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Bouzkova M.[21]
Riera J.
6-26-1
Samsonova L.[15]
Masarova R.
6-34-66-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Linette M.
7-56-796-3
Boulter K.[32]
Maria T.
7-667-5
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-643-66-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
Townsend T.
7-646-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
1-66-36-2
Andreeva E.
Bektas E.
7-653-66-3
Noskova L.[9]
Errani S.
7-636-1
Saville D.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Keys M.[26]
Trevisan M.
6-47-64
Burel C.
Lys E.
6-26-4
Gauff C.[7]
Dolehide C.
6-16-2
Putintseva Y.
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Kudermetova V.
7-646-717-5
Avanesyan E.
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Zhang S.
6-36-0
Osorio C.
Davis L.
6-36-1
Gracheva V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-1
Wang Y.
Schmiedlova A.
6-03-66-4
Stephens S.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Kessler M.
6-36-1