Jozef Kovalik vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliKarlsruhe CH Final

Karlsruhe CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#886ATP
1473ELO
1466Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLWL
Kovalik J.
6-3 7-6
Ugo Carabelli C.
Kovalik J.
6772
Ugo Carabelli C.
3620

Jozef Kovalik defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-3 7-6 in the Karlsruhe CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

  • Match story: Jozef Kovalik closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kovalik J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kovalik J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kovalik J.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
31
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
90
Break points won·Dominant
18
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
8.5+275 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1473
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Kovalik J.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast