Paula Badosa vs Karolina Muchova — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1647Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Karolina Muchova
CZE10
Karolina Muchova
#9WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Badosa P.
6-3 6-2
Muchova K.
Badosa P.
662
Muchova K.
320

Paula Badosa defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-2 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 128. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR32hardKarolina Muchova4-2 RET
2023-05-08RomeR16clayPaula Badosa6-4 6-7(4) 6-2
2021-06-28WimbledonR16grassKarolina Muchova7-6(6) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Badosa P.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Badosa P.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Even
93
95
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Even
94
94
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Badosa P.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Muchova K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1647
Surface ELO
6.9+205 Grass Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Badosa P.Muchova K.
Freshness·Even
64
60

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.[31]
Paolini J.[13]
6-22-66-4
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.[31]
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-36-4
Paolini J.[13]
Vekic D.[31]
2-66-47-68
Quarter-finals
Vekic D.[31]
Sun L.[9]
5-76-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Ostapenko J.[13]
6-47-64
Paolini J.[13]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[13]
Keys M.[26]
6-36-765-5
Rybakina E.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-33-0
Sun L.[9]
Raducanu E.[30]
6-25-76-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[31]
Badosa P.
6-21-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-3
Krejcikova B.[31]
Collins D.[11]
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Putintseva Y.
6-26-3
R32
Collins D.[11]
Haddad Maia B.[20]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[31]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-04-3
Putintseva Y.
Swiatek I.[3]
3-66-16-2
Sun L.[9]
Zhu L.[30]
7-647-66
Svitolina E.[8]
Jabeur O.[10]
6-17-64
Keys M.[26]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Wozniacki C.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[7]
Kartal S.
6-46-0
Raducanu E.[30]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-26-3
Vekic D.[31]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-646-736-1
Navarro E.[23]
Shnaider D.[15]
2-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Pera B.
6-16-3
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.
7-646-1
Wang X.
Dart H.
2-67-56-3
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Samsonova L.[15]
7-646-2
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.[14]
7-664-66-4
R64
Kartal S.
Burel C.
6-35-76-3
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Osorio C.
3-0
Krejcikova B.[31]
Volynets K.[5]
7-667-65
Sun L.[9]
Starodubtseva Y.
4-66-36-2
Zhu L.[30]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
6-46-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
7-56-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Miyazaki Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.[11]
Galfi D.[10]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Siniakova K.[32]
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.[13]
Minnen G.
7-656-2
Navarro E.[23]
Osaka N.[14]
6-46-1
Gauff C.[7]
Todoni A.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Bouzkova M.[21]
6-46-1
Svitolina E.[8]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Dart H.
Boulter K.[32]
4-66-17-68
Andreescu B.
Noskova L.[9]
6-37-65
Kostyuk M.[12]
Saville D.
4-67-626-4
Wozniacki C.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-32-67-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[10]
Montgomery R.
6-17-5
Vekic D.[31]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Stephens S.
6-16-1
Keys M.[26]
Wang Y.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bucsa C.
7-616-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Siegemund L.
6-33-66-3
Badosa P.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.[23]
3-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Snigur D.
6-36-0
Samsonova L.[15]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Pegula J.[4]
6-46-776-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Gracheva V.
3-66-47-65
Raducanu E.[30]
Mertens E.[25]
6-16-2
R128
Siniakova K.[32]
Stakusic M.
6-46-2
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Frech M.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Bogdan A.
6-44-67-65
Jabeur O.[10]
Uchijima M.[8]
6-36-1
Galfi D.[10]
Sherif M.[21]
6-16-2
Miyazaki Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Minnen G.
Watson H.
7-56-4
Volynets K.[5]
Carle M.
6-27-5
Zhu L.[30]
Begu I.
6-06-4
Sun L.[9]
Zheng Q.[8]
4-66-26-4
Rus A.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sramkova R.[16]
6-36-2
Fernandez L.[22]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-46-3
Pera B.
Potapova A.[27]
6-746-47-66
Dart H.
Bai Z.
6-46-0
Vekic D.[31]
Wang X.
3-66-36-4
Andreescu B.
Cristian J.
6-46-2
Kartal S.
Cirstea S.[17]
3-66-26-0
Swiatek I.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Zarazua R.
7-606-3
Osaka N.[14]
Parry D.
6-11-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Wang Q.
6-06-2
Montgomery R.
Gadecki O.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Pliskova K.
4-66-47-5
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Udvardy P.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
6-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Hibino N.
2-66-26-4
Todoni A.
Danilovic O.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-17-61
Badosa P.
Muchova K.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Krueger A.
6-26-0
Siegemund L.
Baindl K.
6-46-1
Niemeier J.
Golubic V.
6-26-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-3
Martic P.
Jones F.
3-66-16-2
Garcia C.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-47-5
Snigur D.
Dodin O.
6-46-0
Collins D.[11]
Tauson C.[24]
6-37-64
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Vondrousova M.[6]
6-46-2
Wozniacki C.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Bouzkova M.[21]
Riera J.
6-26-1
Samsonova L.[15]
Masarova R.
6-34-66-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Linette M.
7-56-796-3
Boulter K.[32]
Maria T.
7-667-5
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-643-66-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
Townsend T.
7-646-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
1-66-36-2
Andreeva E.
Bektas E.
7-653-66-3
Noskova L.[9]
Errani S.
7-636-1
Saville D.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Keys M.[26]
Trevisan M.
6-47-64
Burel C.
Lys E.
6-26-4
Gauff C.[7]
Dolehide C.
6-16-2
Putintseva Y.
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Kudermetova V.
7-646-717-5
Avanesyan E.
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Zhang S.
6-36-0
Osorio C.
Davis L.
6-36-1
Gracheva V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-1
Wang Y.
Schmiedlova A.
6-03-66-4
Stephens S.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Kessler M.
6-36-1