Elmer Moller vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Milan CH Round of 16

Milan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
DEN
Elmer Moller
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
clay
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER2
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Moller E.
6-3 6-1
Varillas J.
Moller E.
662
Varillas J.
310

Elmer Moller defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-1 in the Milan CH round of 16 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Moller E.Varillas J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moller E.Varillas J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
55
Break points saved·Even
81
80
Break points won·Clear edge
58
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moller E.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Varillas J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+162 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1431
6.8Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
2.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moller E.Varillas J.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
62

Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Gomez F.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Jianu F.
Dalla Valle E.[5]
6-30-67-5
Gomez F.
Vincent Ruggeri S.
3-66-36-3
Quarter-finals
Jianu F.
Moller E.
2-66-20-0
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Gakhov I.
7-656-4
Gomez F.
Gaubas V.
6-16-4
Dalla Valle E.[5]
Tseng C.[3]
6-06-4
R16
Dalla Valle E.[5]
Fonio G.
7-656-5
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Ramos A.[1]
6-26-4
Gakhov I.
Gaio F.
7-656-3
Gaubas V.
Alvarez Varona N.
4-66-36-4
Gomez F.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.[8]
4-66-46-1
Tseng C.[3]
Mager G.
7-57-5
Jianu F.
Cecchinato M.
6-17-5
Moller E.
Varillas J.[2]
6-36-1
R32
Moller E.
Lamasine T.
7-647-63
Varillas J.[2]
Debru G.
6-44-66-3
Gomez F.
Arnaboldi F.
6-26-4
Ramos A.[1]
Bueno G.
4-66-07-63
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Vrbensky M.
6-736-46-1
Gaio F.
Gerasimov E.
6-31-66-3
Gakhov I.
Onclin G.[7]
6-26-2
Alvarez Varona N.
Kasnikowski M.[4]
6-47-65
Gaubas V.
Demin Y.
6-16-0
Sanchez Izquierdo N.[8]
Picchione A.
6-31-66-1
Dalla Valle E.[5]
Buse I.
6-41-66-2
Fonio G.
Bourgue M.
6-23-67-68
Mager G.
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-13-66-3
Tseng C.[3]
Taberner C.
7-53-66-4
Jianu F.
Barranco Cosano J.[6]
6-37-67
Cecchinato M.
Cina F.
6-27-64