Daria Kasatkina vs Jasmine Paolini — Eastbourne Semi-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Semi-final
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
[6]
#53WTA
1823ELO
1718Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
grass
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
[3]
#13WTA
1930ELO
1774Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL

Daria Kasatkina defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Eastbourne semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.8+57 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1823
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1930
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
5.7
Country comfort
Surface transition
3.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Kasatkina D.
3762
Paolini J.
6531

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
0.95
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17PalermoQFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 4-6 6-3
2020-08-03PalermoR32clayJasmine Paolini5-7 6-4 6-4
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3
2018-04-30PragueR32clayJasmine Paolini7-6(6) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Kasatkina D.Paolini J.
69%1st serve in+2%67%
57%1st serve points won+2%59%
41%2nd serve points won+8%49%
52%Service points won+4%56%
50%Return points won+8%42%
53%Break points saved+5%58%
1.8Aces / match+0.32.1
6.3Double faults / match+4.61.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Kasatkina D.[6]
Fernandez L.
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Kasatkina D.[6]
Paolini J.[3]
3-67-56-3
Fernandez L.
Keys M.[4]
6-33-66-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.[4]
Muchova K.
W/O
Fernandez L.
Dart H.
6-26-1
Paolini J.[3]
Boulter K.
6-17-60
Kasatkina D.[6]
Raducanu E.
6-26-2
R16
Kasatkina D.[6]
Yuan Y.
3-66-46-0
Fernandez L.
Krueger A.
6-26-1
Raducanu E.
Pegula J.[2]
4-67-667-5
Keys M.[4]
Kalinina A.
7-656-1
Dart H.
Kenin S.
6-36-736-0
Paolini J.[3]
Mertens E.
5-2
Boulter K.
Ostapenko J.[5]
6-47-5
Muchova K.
Linette M.
6-46-1
R32
Ostapenko J.[5]
Minnen G.
7-636-1
Muchova K.
Avanesyan E.
3-1
Dart H.
Bouzkova M.
7-56-776-4
Mertens E.
Miyazaki Y.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.
Stephens S.
6-46-0
Kalinina A.
Cirstea S.
6-36-2
Kasatkina D.[6]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Potapova A.
6-36-6
Boulter K.
Martic P.
6-17-68
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[8]
1-67-646-4
Fernandez L.
Krejcikova B.[7]
6-23-66-2
Krueger A.
Golubic V.
6-16-777-5