

Daria Kasatkina defeated Jasmine Paolini 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Eastbourne semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-17 | Palermo | QF | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2020-08-03 | Palermo | R32 | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2019-05-27 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2018-04-30 | Prague | R32 | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2014-09-15 | Telavi 25K | F | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 4-6 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Kasatkina D.: 20 days rest · Paolini J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About