Federico Arnaboldi vs Raul BrancaccioMilan CH Qualifying Round 2

Milan CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#527ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
clay
#230ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
Arnaboldi F.
6-3 7-6
Brancaccio R.
Arnaboldi F.
6792
Brancaccio R.
3670

Federico Arnaboldi defeated Raul Brancaccio 6-3 7-6 in the Milan CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Raul Brancaccio came in ranked #230, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaboldi F.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Brancaccio R.

Brancaccio R.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
11
Break points saved·Slight edge
41
49
Break points won·Even
15
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1289
Surface ELO
7.2+176 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1492
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
2.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
62

Arnaboldi F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Brancaccio R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast