Dayana Yastremska vs Mirra AndreevaBad Homburg Round of 32

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 32
#67WTA
1792ELO
1673Grass ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 June 2024
grass
#5WTA
2074ELO
1802Grass ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Yastremska D.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Andreeva M.
Yastremska D.
4662
Andreeva M.
6431

Dayana Yastremska defeated Mirra Andreeva 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Bad Homburg round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Dayana Yastremska claimed a first win over Mirra Andreeva in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-09Hong KongR32hardMirra Andreeva6-4 6-3
2023-07-24LausanneR32clayMirra Andreeva6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1673
Surface ELO
6.5+128 Grass Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
92

Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 52%