Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anastasia PotapovaBirmingham Semi-final

Birmingham · WTA · Semi-final
#92WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#27WTA
1904ELO
1687Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Tomljanovic A.
7-6 6-4
Potapova A.
Tomljanovic A.
7762
Potapova A.
6540

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 6-4 in the Birmingham semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #27, defending last year's semi-final, but Ajla Tomljanovic had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-10-25Cluj-Napoca 2R32hardAjla Tomljanovic6-2 5-7 7-5
2021-03-22MiamiR128hardAjla Tomljanovic7-5 6-0
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR16hardAnastasia Potapova7-6(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
89
Break points won·Even
92
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1683
Surface ELO
5.1+4 Grass Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
99

Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast