Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo MusettiQueen's Club Final

Queen's Club · ATP · Final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#14ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Paul T.
6-1 7-6
Musetti L.
Paul T.
67102
Musetti L.
1680

Tommy Paul defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-1 7-6 in the Queen's Club final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
87
82
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9+50 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.1Grass Elo 1750
4.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1869
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
5.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%