Gastao Elias vs Daniel Michalski — Poznan CH Round of 32

Poznan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Gastao Elias
POR
Gastao Elias
#728ATP
1447ELO
1425Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
clay
Daniel Michalski
POL
Daniel Michalski
#299ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Elias G.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Michalski D.
Elias G.
3662
Michalski D.
6431

Gastao Elias defeated Daniel Michalski 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Poznan CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Michalski came in ranked #299, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Elias G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Michalski D.

Michalski D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Elias G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Elias G.Michalski D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Elias G.Michalski D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
37
26
Break points saved·Dominant
57
24
Break points won·Even
24
26
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Elias G.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Michalski D.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.0+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1386
5.6Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1435
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Elias G.Michalski D.
Freshness·
—
73

Michalski D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Kasnikowski M.
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
3-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Kasnikowski M.
Majchrzak K.
3-66-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Olivieri G.
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Kasnikowski M.
Svrcina D.
6-46-3
Majchrzak K.
Vincent Ruggeri S.
4-66-16-3
Olivieri G.
Hardt N.[6]
7-56-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Elias G.
5-77-56-3
R16
Kasnikowski M.
Fonio G.
6-37-60
Svrcina D.
Mager G.
6-36-4
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Jianu F.
3-66-46-4
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-67-62
Hardt N.[6]
Barton H.
6-26-1
Olivieri G.
Dalla Valle E.
1-66-36-4
Elias G.
Sachko V.[5]
6-24-66-1
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-47-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.
Popko D.[8]
7-657-64
Olivieri G.
Dellavedova M.
6-17-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-46-2
Elias G.
Michalski D.
3-66-46-3
Kasnikowski M.
Ramos A.[1]
6-37-67
Fonio G.
Kodat T.
6-36-4
Mager G.
Luz O.
7-57-61
Svrcina D.
Skatov T.[9]
6-26-737-64
Jianu F.
Molleker R.[4]
6-46-2
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Noguchi R.
6-16-4
Majchrzak K.
Bielinskyi V.
6-36-4
Hardt N.[6]
Gakhov I.
6-16-4
Barton H.
Pieczkowski O.
7-56-0
Dalla Valle E.
Roca Batalla O.[3]
6-16-3
Sachko V.[5]
Dodig M.
6-46-4
Dutra Da Silva D.
Mccabe J.
6-36-2