Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gastao Elias — Poznan CH Quarter-final

Poznan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
clay
Gastao Elias
POR
Gastao Elias
#669ATP
1447ELO
1425Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
5-7 7-5 6-3
Elias G.
Ugo Carabelli C.
5762
Elias G.
7531

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Gastao Elias 5-7 7-5 6-3 in the Poznan CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Elias G.

Elias G.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Elias G.
24
Serve
—
36
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.Elias G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (175 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ugo Carabelli C.Elias G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
37
Break points saved·Dominant
90
57
Break points won·Dominant
62
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ugo Carabelli C.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Elias G.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+316 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1425
8.9Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1447
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.6
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ugo Carabelli C.Elias G.
Freshness·
97
—

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Kasnikowski M.
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
3-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Kasnikowski M.
Majchrzak K.
3-66-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Olivieri G.
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Kasnikowski M.
Svrcina D.
6-46-3
Majchrzak K.
Vincent Ruggeri S.
4-66-16-3
Olivieri G.
Hardt N.[6]
7-56-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Elias G.
5-77-56-3
R16
Kasnikowski M.
Fonio G.
6-37-60
Svrcina D.
Mager G.
6-36-4
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Jianu F.
3-66-46-4
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-67-62
Hardt N.[6]
Barton H.
6-26-1
Olivieri G.
Dalla Valle E.
1-66-36-4
Elias G.
Sachko V.[5]
6-24-66-1
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-47-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.
Popko D.[8]
7-657-64
Olivieri G.
Dellavedova M.
6-17-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[2]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-46-2
Elias G.
Michalski D.
3-66-46-3
Kasnikowski M.
Ramos A.[1]
6-37-67
Fonio G.
Kodat T.
6-36-4
Mager G.
Luz O.
7-57-61
Svrcina D.
Skatov T.[9]
6-26-737-64
Jianu F.
Molleker R.[4]
6-46-2
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Noguchi R.
6-16-4
Majchrzak K.
Bielinskyi V.
6-36-4
Hardt N.[6]
Gakhov I.
6-16-4
Barton H.
Pieczkowski O.
7-56-0
Dalla Valle E.
Roca Batalla O.[3]
6-16-3
Sachko V.[5]
Dodig M.
6-46-4
Dutra Da Silva D.
Mccabe J.
6-36-2