Jack Draper vs Carlos AlcarazQueen's Club Round of 16

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Draper J.
7-6 6-3
Alcaraz C.
Draper J.
7762
Alcaraz C.
6330

Jack Draper defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 6-3 in the Queen's Club round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title, but Jack Draper had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Jack Draper narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jack Draper closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersSFhardJack Draper6-1 0-6 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-1 0-0 RET
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 2-0 RET
2022-10-24BaselR32hardCarlos Alcaraz3-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.0Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
10.0+325 Grass Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
10.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.2
Country comfort
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Draper J.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%