Blake Ellis vs Dane Sweeny — Nottingham CH Qualifying Round 1

Nottingham CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
AUS
Blake Ellis
#472ATP
1416ELO
1408Grass ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
AUS6
Dane Sweeny
#122ATP
1460ELO
1362Grass ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Ellis B.
7-6 6-4
Sweeny D.
Ellis B.
7762
Sweeny D.
6340

Blake Ellis defeated Dane Sweeny 7-6 6-4 in the Nottingham CH qualifying round 1 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Dane Sweeny came in ranked #122.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sweeny D.

Sweeny D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ellis B.Sweeny D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ellis B.Sweeny D.
Clutch Rating·Even
41
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
69
Break points won·Slight edge
3
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ellis B.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Sweeny D.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.3+46 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1362
4.2Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ellis B.Sweeny D.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Ellis B.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sweeny D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Peliwo F.[11]
Jones B.
6-37-69
Bertola R.[7]
Nouza P.
6-26-1
Gray A.
Zuk K.[8]
4-67-656-4
Stewart H.
Walters M.
6-26-4
Broom C.[4]
Matusevich A.
6-46-736-3
Moeller M.[1]
Cox D.[10]
6-26-0
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Mchugh A.
6-46-3
Broom C.[9]
Ellis B.
6-46-4
Searle H.
Saville L.[11]
6-47-60
Bolt A.[7]
Tu L.[2]
6-16-2
Fearnley J.
Lajal M.[3]
6-26-4
Pinnington Jones J.
Gill F.[10]
6-26-2
Q1
Moeller M.[1]
Poljak D.
6-47-63
Broom C.[4]
Wendelken H.
6-46-4
Walters M.
Oradini G.[6]
7-56-747-5
Gray A.
Mchugh A.[5]
6-36-2
Cox D.[10]
Barton H.
6-26-3
Jones B.
Diez S.[2]
6-46-4
Peliwo F.[11]
Canter A.
7-626-4
Nouza P.
Gerasimov E.[3]
4-66-36-4
Bertola R.[7]
Houghton G.
6-32-67-5
Matusevich A.
Gomez G.
6-26-1
Stewart H.
Hussey G.[12]
7-56-3
Ellis B.
Sweeny D.[6]
7-636-4
Searle H.
Rodionov J.[1]
6-26-2
Mchugh A.
Mccabe J.[12]
6-726-26-2
Tu L.[2]
Stewart H.
6-17-66
Lajal M.[3]
Brady P.
6-33-66-0
Pinnington Jones J.
Peniston R.[4]
3-67-636-3
Shimabukuro S.[5]
Parker S.
6-16-2
Bolt A.[7]
Mott B.
6-16-4
Fearnley J.
Chidekh C.[8]
2-66-37-64
Broom C.[9]
Wendelken H.
6-46-2
Gill F.[10]
Edmund K.
7-56-4
Saville L.[11]
Hussey G.
7-686-2