Jack Draper vs Frances TiafoeStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Quarter-final
#145ATP
1822ELO
1704Grass ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#17ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Draper J.
5-7 6-4 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Draper J.
56772
Tiafoe F.
74611

Jack Draper defeated Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-4 7-6 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Jack Draper claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
83
57
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.0+119 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Draper J.: 18 days rest · Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast