Katie Boulter vs Karolina PliskovaNottingham Final

Nottingham · WTA · Final
#67WTA
1831ELO
1734Grass ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#64WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Boulter K.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Pliskova K.
Boulter K.
4662
Pliskova K.
6321

Katie Boulter defeated Karolina Pliskova 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Nottingham final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Pliskova came in ranked #64. Katie Boulter extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01San JoseR32hardKarolina Pliskova1-6 7-6(5) 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassKatie Boulter3-6 7-6(4) 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR32grassKatie Boulter1-6 6-4 6-4
2018-10-08TianjinQFhardKarolina Pliskova5-7 6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.4
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
95
Break points won·Slight edge
93
87
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1734
Surface ELO
5.0+24 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
96

Boulter K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast