Matteo Berrettini vs Denis ShapovalovStuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 16
#51ATP
1831ELO
1739Grass ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#41ATP
1771ELO
1636Grass ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Berrettini M.
6-4 6-4
Shapovalov D.
Berrettini M.
662
Shapovalov D.
440

Matteo Berrettini defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4 in the Stuttgart round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Matteo Berrettini claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Berrettini edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-11-18Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs CANRRhardDenis Shapovalov7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(5)
2018-09-17St. PetersburgR16carpetDenis Shapovalov7-6(6) 4-6 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.2
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
81
85
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
53
71
Deciding sets·Even
91
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+103 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1636
5.3Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
98

Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast