Brandon Nakashima vs Joao FonsecaSurbiton CH Round of 16

Surbiton CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 June 2024
grass
#27ATP
1928ELO
1686Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Nakashima B.
6-2 6-7 6-0
Fonseca J.
Nakashima B.
66462
Fonseca J.
27701

Brandon Nakashima defeated Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-7 6-0 in the Surbiton CH round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
76
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
13
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.2+71 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1686
3.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
94

Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast