Luca Van Assche vs Maks KasnikowskiHeilbronn CH Quarter-final

Heilbronn CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#86ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 June 2024
clay
#252ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Van Assche L.
6-3 3-6 6-0
Kasnikowski M.
Van Assche L.
6362
Kasnikowski M.
3601

Luca Van Assche defeated Maks Kasnikowski 6-3 3-6 6-0 in the Heilbronn CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van Assche L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Kasnikowski M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (168 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
13
Break points saved·Dominant
91
56
Break points won·Dominant
61
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
16
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+221 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1418
8.5Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
55

Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Kasnikowski M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast