Hugo Gaston vs Francisco CerundoloLyon Round of 16

Lyon · ATP · Round of 16
#118ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 May 2024
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Gaston H.
6-2 2-6 6-3
Cerundolo F.
Gaston H.
6262
Cerundolo F.
2631

Hugo Gaston defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-2 2-6 6-3 in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final, but Hugo Gaston had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay. Hugo Gaston claimed a first win over Francisco Cerundolo in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-28Roland GarrosR64clayFrancisco Cerundolo2-6 6-4 6-2 6-1
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(9) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Gaston H.Cerundolo F.
Serve
23
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (148 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Dominant
57
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
94
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1566
Surface ELO
8.5+302 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
97

Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast