Alexander Bublik vs Pavel Kotov — Lyon Quarter-final

Lyon · ATP · Quarter-final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ2
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 May 2024
clay
Pavel Kotov
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Bublik A.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Kotov P.
Bublik A.
647762
Kotov P.
776431

Alexander Bublik defeated Pavel Kotov 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Lyon quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Kotov P.
55
Serve
—
51
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Kotov P.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Kotov P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
67
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kotov P.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+294 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1529
8.4Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Kotov P.
Freshness·
66
—

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Etcheverry T.[6]
6-41-67-67
Semi-finals
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Bublik A.[2]
6-47-5
Etcheverry T.[6]
Darderi L.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Darderi L.
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Bublik A.[2]
Kotov P.
6-747-646-3
Etcheverry T.[6]
Koepfer D.
6-46-1
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Gaston H.
6-44-66-3
R16
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Nishioka Y.
W/O
Etcheverry T.[6]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-53-0
Darderi L.
Mannarino A.[3]
7-646-3
Gaston H.
Cerundolo F.[4]
6-22-66-3
Koepfer D.
Humbert U.[1]
2-66-46-4
Rinderknech A.
Tiafoe F.[5]
7-676-4
Kotov P.
Muller A.
7-686-1
Bublik A.[2]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
R32
Gaston H.
Galan D.
7-627-64
Seyboth Wild T.
Martinez P.
6-46-1
Darderi L.
Daniel T.
7-57-63
Tiafoe F.[5]
Munar J.
7-656-4
Vukic A.
Mcdonald M.
6-26-2
Rinderknech A.
Evans D.
6-34-67-66
Koepfer D.
Barranco Cosano J.
6-46-746-4
Etcheverry T.[6]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
1-66-26-2
Nishioka Y.
Fanselow S.
6-06-1
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Sonego L.
6-36-4
Kotov P.
Cachin P.
6-16-4
Muller A.
Gasquet R.
6-46-4