Aryna Sabalenka vs Dayana Yastremska — Rome Round of 32

Rome · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Dayana Yastremska
UKR32
Dayana Yastremska
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-2
Yastremska D.
Sabalenka A.
662
Yastremska D.
420

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Dayana Yastremska 6-4 6-2 in the Rome round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka claimed a first win over Dayana Yastremska in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-13AdelaideSFhardDayana Yastremska6-4 7-6(4)
2019-05-20StrasbourgSFclayDayana Yastremska6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sabalenka A.Yastremska D.
—
Serve
10
—
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Yastremska D.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Yastremska D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
89
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
63
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Yastremska D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+372 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1731
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
2.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Yastremska D.
Freshness·Even
86
90

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
7-646-1
Collins D.[13]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Keys M.[18]
Cirstea S.[28]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[3]
Badosa P.
5-76-46-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sramkova R.
4-66-47-63
Azarenka V.[24]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Svitolina E.[16]
4-66-17-67
Zheng Q.[7]
Osaka N.
6-26-4
Collins D.[13]
Begu I.
6-06-3
R32
Svitolina E.[16]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-36-3
Kerber A.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Sakkari M.[5]
Kalinina A.[30]
7-646-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Sherif M.
6-26-766-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cristian J.
6-10-66-3
Collins D.[13]
Garcia C.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Cirstea S.[28]
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-616-3
Sramkova R.
Kenin S.
6-44-66-4
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-45-76-1
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-44-66-3
Badosa P.
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Noskova L.[29]
3-66-16-2
Begu I.
Mertens E.[27]
6-26-0
R64
Collins D.[13]
Blinkova A.
6-40-0
Begu I.
Dodin O.
5-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[7]
Rogers S.
6-26-0
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-36-0
Kalinina A.[30]
Tsurenko L.
2-0
Gauff C.[3]
Frech M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.[31]
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-06-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[18]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Bogdan A.
6-23-66-4
Cristian J.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-26-2
Noskova L.[29]
Stefanini L.
6-37-61
Azarenka V.[24]
Linette M.
6-756-46-3
Sherif M.
Paolini J.[11]
7-642-66-4
Mertens E.[27]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Kenin S.
Jabeur O.[8]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Boulter K.[26]
6-47-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-31-67-5
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Yastremska D.[32]
Siegemund L.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Kostyuk M.[19]
6-36-2
Garcia C.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-65
Sabalenka A.[2]
Volynets K.
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Errani S.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.[28]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-0
Badosa P.
Navarro E.[21]
1-66-46-2
R128
Putintseva Y.
Trevisan M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
4-67-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Errani S.
Anisimova A.
4-66-26-1
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-27-66
Bogdan A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Frech M.
Krueger A.
7-626-3
Siegemund L.
Carle M.
2-66-46-4
Gracheva V.
Di Sarra F.
6-16-3
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-653-66-2
Pera B.
Dolehide C.
7-666-3
Kerber A.
Davis L.
6-16-0
Wang X.
Yuan Y.
4-66-16-2
Osorio C.
Rus A.
4-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Townsend T.
3-66-26-0
Shnaider D.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Burel C.
7-626-1
Stefanini L.
Paganetti V.
7-56-3
Rogers S.
Pigato L.
6-16-0
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.
6-23-67-65
Linette M.
Zhu L.
6-36-2
Sherif M.
Martic P.
6-26-2
Blinkova A.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Masarova R.
5-76-36-4
Kenin S.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Wang Y.
7-666-1
Sramkova R.
Pedone G.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bucsa C.
6-736-07-5
Badosa P.
Andreeva M.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Wang X.
6-17-5