Mayar Sherif vs Jasmine Paolini — Rome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
Mayar Sherif
EGY
Mayar Sherif
#109WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA11
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Sherif M.
7-6 2-6 6-4
Paolini J.
Sherif M.
77262
Paolini J.
64641

Mayar Sherif defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-6 2-6 6-4 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 64, but Mayar Sherif had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Mayar Sherif closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sherif M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sherif M.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sherif M.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
89
Break points saved·Even
84
87
Break points won·Clear edge
81
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sherif M.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Paolini J.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1663
Surface ELO
8.5+193 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1905
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.8
0.0
3-set count
Country comfort
7.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sherif M.Paolini J.
Freshness·Even
74
72

Sherif M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
7-646-1
Collins D.[13]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Keys M.[18]
Cirstea S.[28]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[3]
Badosa P.
5-76-46-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sramkova R.
4-66-47-63
Azarenka V.[24]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Svitolina E.[16]
4-66-17-67
Zheng Q.[7]
Osaka N.
6-26-4
Collins D.[13]
Begu I.
6-06-3
R32
Svitolina E.[16]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-36-3
Kerber A.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Sakkari M.[5]
Kalinina A.[30]
7-646-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Sherif M.
6-26-766-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cristian J.
6-10-66-3
Collins D.[13]
Garcia C.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Cirstea S.[28]
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-616-3
Sramkova R.
Kenin S.
6-44-66-4
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-45-76-1
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-44-66-3
Badosa P.
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Noskova L.[29]
3-66-16-2
Begu I.
Mertens E.[27]
6-26-0
R64
Collins D.[13]
Blinkova A.
6-40-0
Begu I.
Dodin O.
5-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[7]
Rogers S.
6-26-0
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-36-0
Kalinina A.[30]
Tsurenko L.
2-0
Gauff C.[3]
Frech M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.[31]
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-06-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[18]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Bogdan A.
6-23-66-4
Cristian J.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-26-2
Noskova L.[29]
Stefanini L.
6-37-61
Azarenka V.[24]
Linette M.
6-756-46-3
Sherif M.
Paolini J.[11]
7-642-66-4
Mertens E.[27]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Kenin S.
Jabeur O.[8]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Boulter K.[26]
6-47-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-31-67-5
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Yastremska D.[32]
Siegemund L.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Kostyuk M.[19]
6-36-2
Garcia C.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-65
Sabalenka A.[2]
Volynets K.
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Errani S.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.[28]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-0
Badosa P.
Navarro E.[21]
1-66-46-2
R128
Putintseva Y.
Trevisan M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
4-67-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Errani S.
Anisimova A.
4-66-26-1
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-27-66
Bogdan A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Frech M.
Krueger A.
7-626-3
Siegemund L.
Carle M.
2-66-46-4
Gracheva V.
Di Sarra F.
6-16-3
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-653-66-2
Pera B.
Dolehide C.
7-666-3
Kerber A.
Davis L.
6-16-0
Wang X.
Yuan Y.
4-66-16-2
Osorio C.
Rus A.
4-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Townsend T.
3-66-26-0
Shnaider D.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Burel C.
7-626-1
Stefanini L.
Paganetti V.
7-56-3
Rogers S.
Pigato L.
6-16-0
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.
6-23-67-65
Linette M.
Zhu L.
6-36-2
Sherif M.
Martic P.
6-26-2
Blinkova A.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Masarova R.
5-76-36-4
Kenin S.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Wang Y.
7-666-1
Sramkova R.
Pedone G.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bucsa C.
6-736-07-5
Badosa P.
Andreeva M.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Wang X.
6-17-5