Jelena Ostapenko vs Rebecca SramkovaRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#139WTA
1654ELO
1587Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
Ostapenko J.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Sramkova R.
Ostapenko J.
46772
Sramkova R.
64631

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Rebecca Sramkova 4-6 6-4 7-6 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-4
2025-05-06RomeR64clayJelena Ostapenko1-6 6-4 6-3
2019-02-09Fed Cup WG2 R1: SVK vs LATRRhardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-7(5) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Sramkova R.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
87
Break points won·Clear edge
100
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+222 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1587
6.8Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1654
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
5.6
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sramkova R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw