Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia Potapova — Rome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT9
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Anastasia Potapova
RUSQ
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-2
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.
662
Potapova A.
420

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 32. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayAnastasia Potapova4-6 6-4 6-4
2023-06-19BirminghamSFgrassJelena Ostapenko5-7 6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ostapenko J.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ostapenko J.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
89
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Even
96
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Potapova A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1808
Surface ELO
5.7+73 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ostapenko J.Potapova A.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
99

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Collins D.[13]
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Zheng Q.[7]
7-646-1
Collins D.[13]
Azarenka V.[24]
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-16-3
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Keys M.[18]
Cirstea S.[28]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[3]
Badosa P.
5-76-46-1
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sramkova R.
4-66-47-63
Azarenka V.[24]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Svitolina E.[16]
4-66-17-67
Zheng Q.[7]
Osaka N.
6-26-4
Collins D.[13]
Begu I.
6-06-3
R32
Svitolina E.[16]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-36-3
Kerber A.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Sakkari M.[5]
Kalinina A.[30]
7-646-0
Sabalenka A.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
6-46-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Sherif M.
6-26-766-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cristian J.
6-10-66-3
Collins D.[13]
Garcia C.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Cirstea S.[28]
Vondrousova M.[6]
7-616-3
Sramkova R.
Kenin S.
6-44-66-4
Ostapenko J.[9]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-45-76-1
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-44-66-3
Badosa P.
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-4
Osaka N.
Kasatkina D.[10]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Noskova L.[29]
3-66-16-2
Begu I.
Mertens E.[27]
6-26-0
R64
Collins D.[13]
Blinkova A.
6-40-0
Begu I.
Dodin O.
5-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Maria T.
7-56-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[7]
Rogers S.
6-26-0
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-36-0
Kalinina A.[30]
Tsurenko L.
2-0
Gauff C.[3]
Frech M.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Gracheva V.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.
Samsonova L.[15]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.[31]
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-06-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Wang X.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[18]
Osorio C.
6-04-66-3
Vondrousova M.[6]
Bogdan A.
6-23-66-4
Cristian J.
Avanesyan E.
5-76-26-2
Noskova L.[29]
Stefanini L.
6-37-61
Azarenka V.[24]
Linette M.
6-756-46-3
Sherif M.
Paolini J.[11]
7-642-66-4
Mertens E.[27]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Kenin S.
Jabeur O.[8]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Boulter K.[26]
6-47-68
Sorribes Tormo S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-31-67-5
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Tauson C.
6-16-2
Yastremska D.[32]
Siegemund L.
4-67-56-2
Osaka N.
Kostyuk M.[19]
6-36-2
Garcia C.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
6-27-65
Sabalenka A.[2]
Volynets K.
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Errani S.
6-06-2
Cirstea S.[28]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-0
Badosa P.
Navarro E.[21]
1-66-46-2
R128
Putintseva Y.
Trevisan M.
6-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
4-67-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-3
Tauson C.
Saville D.
6-26-3
Errani S.
Anisimova A.
4-66-26-1
Sasnovich A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-27-66
Bogdan A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-1
Frech M.
Krueger A.
7-626-3
Siegemund L.
Carle M.
2-66-46-4
Gracheva V.
Di Sarra F.
6-16-3
Maria T.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-653-66-2
Pera B.
Dolehide C.
7-666-3
Kerber A.
Davis L.
6-16-0
Wang X.
Yuan Y.
4-66-16-2
Osorio C.
Rus A.
4-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Townsend T.
3-66-26-0
Shnaider D.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Osaka N.
Burel C.
7-626-1
Stefanini L.
Paganetti V.
7-56-3
Rogers S.
Pigato L.
6-16-0
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.
6-23-67-65
Linette M.
Zhu L.
6-36-2
Sherif M.
Martic P.
6-26-2
Blinkova A.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Begu I.
Masarova R.
5-76-36-4
Kenin S.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Wang Y.
7-666-1
Sramkova R.
Pedone G.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Bucsa C.
6-736-07-5
Badosa P.
Andreeva M.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Brancaccio N.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Wang X.
6-17-5