Qinwen Zheng vs Naomi OsakaRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#14WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Zheng Q.
6-2 6-4
Osaka N.
Zheng Q.
662
Osaka N.
240

Qinwen Zheng defeated Naomi Osaka 6-2 6-4 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14. Qinwen Zheng extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17BerlinR32grassQinwen Zheng6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-08-01San JoseR32hardNaomi Osaka6-4 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
91
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1811
Surface ELO
4.7+75 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
79

Zheng Q.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw