Alexandre Muller vs Andrey RublevRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Muller A.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Rublev A.
Muller A.
3662
Rublev A.
6321

Alexandre Muller defeated Andrey Rublev 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alexandre Muller claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14StockholmR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Muller A.Rublev A.
Serve
14
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
44
72
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
7.1+244 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
3.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%