Ryan Nijboer vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Francavilla Al Mare CH Round of 32

Francavilla Al Mare CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Ryan Nijboer
NED
Ryan Nijboer
#488ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN3
Shintaro Mochizuki
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Nijboer R.
6-4 7-5
Mochizuki S.
Nijboer R.
672
Mochizuki S.
450

Ryan Nijboer defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 7-5 in the Francavilla Al Mare CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nijboer R.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Nijboer R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nijboer R.Mochizuki S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nijboer R.Mochizuki S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
52
Break points saved·Dominant
35
74
Break points won·Dominant
15
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
2
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nijboer R.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mochizuki S.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
1.3
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nijboer R.Mochizuki S.
Freshness·Clear edge
67
86

Nijboer R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Droguet T.[1]
Berrettini J.
6-37-64
Semi-finals
Droguet T.[1]
Agamenone F.
6-37-5
Berrettini J.
Hardt N.
6-34-66-2
Quarter-finals
Droguet T.[1]
Piraino G.
7-56-1
Hardt N.
Pellegrino A.[4]
7-616-3
Agamenone F.
Nijboer R.
6-46-0
Berrettini J.
Moller E.
4-67-636-3
R16
Droguet T.[1]
Guerrieri A.
7-666-4
Berrettini J.
Galarneau A.[2]
4-67-57-5
Agamenone F.
Cecchinato M.
7-692-66-4
Pellegrino A.[4]
Andreev A.
6-34-67-5
Piraino G.
Boyer T.[8]
5-77-56-3
Hardt N.
Kasnikowski M.
6-776-36-2
Moller E.
Elias G.
6-43-66-1
Nijboer R.
Arnaboldi F.
7-656-1
R32
Arnaboldi F.
Carboni L.
2-66-14-1
Agamenone F.
Travaglia S.[6]
6-36-2
Pellegrino A.[4]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-45-76-3
Hardt N.
Dalla Valle E.
7-616-2
Galarneau A.[2]
Rincon D.
7-631-66-1
Droguet T.[1]
Marie J.
6-16-0
Nijboer R.
Mochizuki S.[3]
6-47-5
Kasnikowski M.
Crawford O.[7]
6-17-5
Boyer T.[8]
Wenger D.
6-47-64
Andreev A.
Blanch D.
6-16-3
Berrettini J.
Gakhov I.
7-671-67-5
Cecchinato M.
Weis A.
6-17-62
Elias G.
Mager G.
3-67-656-2
Guerrieri A.
Harris B.
4-66-36-3
Moller E.
Giannessi A.
6-16-0
Piraino G.
Quinn E.
7-57-5