Tommy Paul vs Daniil MedvedevRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#9ATP
1977ELO
1889Clay ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Paul T.
6-1 6-4
Medvedev D.
Paul T.
662
Medvedev D.
140

Tommy Paul defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending the title. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-0
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev1-6 7-6(3) 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingR32hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-1
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Medvedev D.
34
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
96
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1886
Surface ELO
5.4+4 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
5.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
82

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%