

Tommy Paul defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending the title. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Daniil Medvedev in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | R16 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | SF | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Daniil Medvedev | 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About