Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Rome Masters Qualifying Round 1

Rome Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
USA
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
#872ATP
1584ELO
1538Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER14
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-4 7-5
Varillas J.
Moreno De Alboran N.
672
Varillas J.
450

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 7-5 in the Rome Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moreno De Alboran N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moreno De Alboran N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Moreno De Alboran N.Varillas J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (111 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Moreno De Alboran N.Varillas J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
80
Break points won·Dominant
5
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
58
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Moreno De Alboran N.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Varillas J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+107 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1431
6.4Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Moreno De Alboran N.Varillas J.
Freshness·
—
62

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%
Q2
Moreno De Alboran N.
Kopriva V.
6-43-66-3
Medjedovic H.
Wolf J.[10]
6-16-4
Muller A.[17]
Albot R.
7-56-2
Monteiro T.[23]
Moutet C.[4]
6-36-4
Passaro F.
Ajdukovic D.[24]
7-656-767-63
Bergs Z.[11]
Shang J.[18]
6-47-65
Schwartzman D.
Kukushkin M.
4-66-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[20]
Bagnis F.
6-36-1
Marterer M.[9]
Gasquet R.[21]
6-36-4
Barrere G.[16]
Meligeni Alves F.
6-37-67
Atmane T.
Mayot H.[19]
6-32-66-2
Nakashima B.[1]
De Jong J.
6-44-66-4
Q1
Muller A.[17]
Nava E.
4-66-16-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Gaston H.[7]
6-33-66-1
De Jong J.
Rodionov J.[22]
6-32-66-4
Shang J.[18]
Maestrelli F.
6-13-66-3
Albot R.
Daniel T.[3]
6-40-66-1
Moutet C.[4]
Dzumhur D.
6-16-3
Marterer M.[9]
Picchione A.
4-66-37-5
Gasquet R.[21]
Vincent Ruggeri S.
6-17-5
Schwartzman D.
Ramos A.[13]
6-13-67-5
Wolf J.[10]
Zapata Miralles B.
4-67-656-1
Medjedovic H.
Ugo Carabelli C.[15]
7-616-2
Van De Zandschulp B.[20]
Svajda Z.
6-26-2
Nakashima B.[1]
Fatic N.
7-657-5
Bergs Z.[11]
Kypson P.
4-66-36-4
Mayot H.[19]
Vacherot V.
6-36-3
Monteiro T.[23]
Oradini G.
6-46-4
Kopriva V.
Coria F.[2]
6-35-77-63
Kukushkin M.
Garin C.[5]
5-77-697-62
Ajdukovic D.[24]
Piros Z.
7-623-66-2
Barrere G.[16]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-5
Moreno De Alboran N.
Varillas J.[14]
6-47-5
Atmane T.
Kokkinakis T.[6]
7-57-65
Passaro F.
Kovacevic A.[8]
7-57-5
Bagnis F.
Tirante T.[12]
7-687-65