Tristan Schoolkate vs Adam WaltonGuangzhou CH Final

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#148ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 April 2024
hard
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Schoolkate T.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Walton A.
Schoolkate T.
6362
Walton A.
3631

Tristan Schoolkate defeated Adam Walton 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Guangzhou CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #79. Tristan Schoolkate extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatyR32hardAdam Walton7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-2
2025-03-19Miami MastersQ2hardTristan Schoolkate6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Schoolkate T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Schoolkate T.Walton A.
Serve
35
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
95
Break points won·Clear edge
0
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1514
Surface ELO
6.4+155 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1703
1.9
H2H
8.1
6.1
Surface form
8.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
5.7
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
54

Schoolkate T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d) · Walton A.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Schoolkate T.
Walton A.[3]
6-33-66-3
Oconnell C.[1]
Shimabukuro S.
1-67-57-65