Blake Ellis vs Luke SavilleGuangzhou CH Qualifying Round 1

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#472ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 April 2024
hard
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLW
Ellis B.
6-4 6-1
Saville L.
Ellis B.
662
Saville L.
410

Blake Ellis defeated Luke Saville 6-4 6-1 in the Guangzhou CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luke Saville came in defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Saville L.

Saville L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve advantage — Ellis B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
19
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
69
Break points won·Slight edge
3
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
29
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
38
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.6No prior meetings
H2H
5.4
5.4
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Ellis B.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast