Tristan Schoolkate vs Mattia BellucciGuangzhou CH Round of 16

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#148ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 April 2024
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Schoolkate T.
6-0 7-6
Bellucci M.
Schoolkate T.
6772
Bellucci M.
0650

Tristan Schoolkate defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-0 7-6 in the Guangzhou CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Schoolkate T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Schoolkate T.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.9
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Slight edge
0
10
Deciding sets·Even
85
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1514
Surface ELO
6.7+164 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
5.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
100

Schoolkate T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast