Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Bernabe Zapata MirallesMadrid Masters Qualifying Round 1

Madrid Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
1413ELO
1407Clay ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-4 6-4
Zapata Miralles B.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Zapata Miralles B.
440

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-4 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Bernabe Zapata Miralles came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16, but Camilo Ugo Carabelli had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Bernabe Zapata Miralles in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQ1clayBernabe Zapata Miralles7-6(1) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Zapata Miralles B.

Zapata Miralles B.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Zapata Miralles B.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
74
Break points won·Clear edge
62
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+333 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1407
9.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1413
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%