Alexander Bublik vs Ben SheltonMadrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024
clay
#5ATP
1960ELO
1845Clay ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Bublik A.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Shelton B.
Bublik A.
37762
Shelton B.
66241

Alexander Bublik defeated Ben Shelton 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardBen Shelton7-6(4) 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayAlexander Bublik6-4 1-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Shelton B.
55
Serve
100
51
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
71%
Aces / match·Slight edge
11.1
9.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
86
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
67
58
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1822
Surface ELO
5.2+23 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1960
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.9
Surface form
6.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
93

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 33%