Bruno Kuzuhara vs Alex Rybakov — Tallahassee CH Qualifying Round 2

Tallahassee CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
USA6
Bruno Kuzuhara
1191ELO
1157Clay ELO
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
Alex Rybakov
USA10
Alex Rybakov
#428ATP
1352ELO
1311Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Kuzuhara B.
7-6 6-3
Rybakov A.
Kuzuhara B.
7762
Rybakov A.
6330

Bruno Kuzuhara defeated Alex Rybakov 7-6 6-3 in the Tallahassee CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Rybakov came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzuhara B.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kuzuhara B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kuzuhara B.Rybakov A.
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kuzuhara B.Rybakov A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
0
15
Break points saved·Dominant
34
84
Break points won·Even
5
5
Deciding sets·Clear edge
3
19
Tiebreaks·Even
1
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kuzuhara B.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Rybakov A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1157
Surface ELO
6.9+154 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1191
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1352
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.7
Surface form
2.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kuzuhara B.Rybakov A.
Freshness·Even
87
88

Kuzuhara B.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Rybakov A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Andrade A.
Mccormick T.
4-66-16-4
Melzer G.[11]
Edmund K.[4]
2-66-06-3
Andrade A.
Mccormick T.
4-66-16-4
Bobrov B.[2]
Kirchheimer S.[8]
4-66-36-3
Lilov V.[12]
Rai A.
7-651-66-2
Kuzuhara B.[6]
Rybakov A.[10]
7-636-3
Q1
Mccormick T.
Gea A.[1]
6-16-4
Bobrov B.[2]
Horovitz R.
6-26-4
Mccormick T.
Gea A.
6-16-4
Andrade A.
Razeghi A.
4-66-36-2
Kirchheimer S.[8]
Fancutt T.
6-36-4
Denolly C.[3]
Lyons J.
6-26-1
Edmund K.[4]
Ingildsen J.
6-16-1
Melzer G.[11]
Frusina A.
6-26-4
Rai A.
Durasovic V.[5]
3-66-37-5
Lilov V.[12]
Jose Ribeiro Lago E.
3-67-656-4
Kuzuhara B.[6]
Nefve A.
6-46-3
Rybakov A.[10]
Sakamoto R.
4-66-36-0