Mariano Navone vs Francisco CerundoloBucharest Quarter-final

Bucharest · ATP · Quarter-final
#48ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Navone M.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Cerundolo F.
Navone M.
5672
Cerundolo F.
7451

Mariano Navone defeated Francisco Cerundolo 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Bucharest quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Mariano Navone had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Mariano Navone claimed a first win over Francisco Cerundolo in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroR32clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 6-4
2025-07-14BastadR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Cerundolo F.
0
Serve
23
95
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (148 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
98
Break points won·Even
90
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1800
Surface ELO
6.4+68 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
98

Navone M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast