Matteo Arnaldi vs Sebastian BaezBarcelona Round of 32

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Arnaldi M.
5-7 7-6 6-2
Baez S.
Arnaldi M.
571062
Baez S.
76821

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Sebastian Baez 5-7 7-6 6-2 in the Barcelona round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
51
86
Deciding sets·Even
86
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+113 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1718
4.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
96

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%