Luca Nardi vs Alexandre MullerMonte Carlo Masters Qualifying Round 2

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 April 2024
clay
#132ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Nardi L.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Muller A.
Nardi L.
3662
Muller A.
6441

Luca Nardi defeated Alexandre Muller 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #132, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Luca Nardi had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Luca Nardi claimed a first win over Alexandre Muller in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardAlexandre Muller4-6 6-1 6-1
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayAlexandre Muller6-4 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
75
Break points saved·Even
92
94
Break points won·Dominant
15
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1537
Surface ELO
6.3+92 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1665
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
4.1
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
9.0
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Nardi L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Muller A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%