Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan ChoinskiEstoril Round of 16

Estoril · ATP · Round of 16
#96ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#100ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4
Choinski J.
Hurkacz H.
7762
Choinski J.
6540

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Jan Choinski 7-6 6-4 in the Estoril round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve advantage — Hurkacz H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Clear edge
40
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+110 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1652
7.9Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1686
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
3.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.5
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
60

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast