Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliFlorianopolis CH Semi-final

Florianopolis CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#250ATP
1486ELO
1470Clay ELO
$76kYTD
$371kCAREER
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Reis Da Silva J.
6-4 6-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Reis Da Silva J.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
430

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-3 in the Florianopolis CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Reis Da Silva J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Reis Da Silva J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Reis Da Silva J.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (148 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
78
Break points saved·Dominant
49
90
Break points won·Clear edge
43
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1470
Surface ELO
8.5+270 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1486
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1759
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.2
Surface form
7.5
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast