Matteo Berrettini vs Roberto Carballes BaenaMarrakech Final

Marrakech · ATP · Final
#43ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Berrettini M.
7-5 6-2
Carballes Baena R.
Berrettini M.
762
Carballes Baena R.
520

Matteo Berrettini defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 7-5 6-2 in the Marrakech final on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesR16hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-2
2022-10-10FlorenceR16hardRoberto Carballes Baena5-7 7-6(5) 7-5
2019-09-16St. PetersburgR16carpetMatteo Berrettini6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve advantage — Berrettini M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Berrettini M.Carballes Baena R.
51
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
93
Break points won·Slight edge
53
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+178 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1612
7.6Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
92

Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast