Francesca Jones vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaSan Luis Potosi 125 Round of 32

San Luis Potosi 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#123WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 March 2024
clay
#61WTA
1759ELO
1719Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Jones F.
7-5 6-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
762
Starodubtseva Y.
54

Francesca Jones defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 7-5 6-4 in the San Luis Potosi 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #61, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Francesca Jones claimed a first win over Yuliia Starodubtseva in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassYuliia Starodubtseva1-6 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Jones F.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jones F.Starodubtseva Y.
Serve
62
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
89
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
74
66
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1621
Surface ELO
5.5+99 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
97

Jones F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast