Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas RuizMurcia CH Semi-final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#122ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
clay
#119ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Rocha H.
6-3 4-6 6-2
Llamas Ruiz P.
Rocha H.
6462
Llamas Ruiz P.
3621

Henrique Rocha defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the Murcia CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #119, defending last year's semi-final, but Henrique Rocha had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Henrique Rocha closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rocha H.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (160 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
88
Break points won·Clear edge
25
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1666
Surface ELO
5.7+66 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1676
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Rocha H.: 20 days rest · Llamas Ruiz P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast