Tomas Machac vs Andrey RublevMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Machac T.
6-4 6-4
Rublev A.
Machac T.
662
Rublev A.
440

Tomas Machac defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Tomas Machac claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaQFclayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Rublev A.
30
Serve
55
25
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Slight edge
80
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1829
Surface ELO
5.3+19 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%